Playoff Update

The Jacksonville @ Houston is gonna be super important! Two shitty teams deciding who gets in the fantasy playoffs! Awesome!

Lets see...

The three teams still fighting for the last playoff spot are the Queens, Wendigos and Whiteness. The Dipsos have won their game, there are no players on Monday in their match, and are guaranteed a spot. (Update: The Dipsos have DeMeco Ryans (Hou), but it doesn't matter)

Troubadors versus Whiteness:

Whiteness is down by 7.38 points and still has Maurice Jones Drew (Jax) left to play (Rich Eisen calls him 'Pocket Hercules'). Thats not an unreasonable amount to expect. This also would likely knock the Troubadors out of first place. More on that later.

Wendigos versus Queens:

Wendigos are down by 13.63 and still have Andre Johnson (Hou), Owen Daniels (Hou) and Kevin Walter (Hou), which is also not an unreasonable amount to overcome. 3 players divided by 13.63 points is 4.55 points each. Thats roughly 2 catches with a few yards.

IF the Whiteness win and the Queens lose, the Queens are out of the playoffs based on record. IF the Queens win and Whiteness lose, Queens are in based on record. IF both the Whiteness and Queens lose, the Queens are in based on points. (MJD ain't gonna score in the vicinity of 200 fantasy points, which is what it would require for Whiteness to overcome the deficit.) IF both the Queens and Whiteness win, they are both in and Wendigos are out.

So...The Whiteness have to win their game, and hope for a Queens loss. The Queens need only to win and they get in, if they lose, they need Whiteness to lose also. The Wendigos are guaranteed a spot if they win, if they lose, they need Whiteness to lose also.

Theismann versus Lard Ends: Lards are out and Theismann is in playoffs wise, but if the Troubadors lose versus the Whiteness, and Theismann wins versus Lard Ends, then Theismann takes over first place in the league. The Lard Ends have Steve Slaton (Hou) and need 20.6 points from him. Its a lot, but its not out of the question.

I think I got that right. Hit the comments with anything I may have missed..

Go Dipsos!

Update: Stats were adjusted overnight, and the scores have shifted a bit, but the logic remains the same.

Playoff Scenarios

I've been looking at the standings and thinking about playoff scenarios, tell me if I miss something here, I probably will...


We have a 4 way tie for 4th place, with 4 teams at 6-6. One of these teams will not make the playoffs. Only 6 teams make the playoffs.

3rd) Brisbane Scofflaws w/ 2223.77
4th) Querque Queens w/ 2152.68
5th) Dallas Dipsomaniacs w/ 2025.92
6th) West Indian Wendigos w/ 2023.68
7th) Discursive Whiteness w/ 2011.68
8th) Redlands Lard Ends w/ 1872.78

The Queens and the Wendigos play each other this week. It is possible that the loser of this game does not make the playoffs, but notice that Whiteness plays Troubadors...If the Whiteness lose, and the Wendigos lose, then the team with the scoring advantage makes the playoffs. The same is true for the Dipsos, who play Azathoth. Notice the 14 point difference between 5th and 7th. A 6-7 team will get in to the playoffs and it is possible that another 6-7 team will not.

So here's the deal. Of these teams vying for the final playoff spot....you must win your game to make the playoffs, and you if you lose, you must score a lot of points and hope for low point scoring losses from the other contenders.

Here's a realistic scenario: The Troubadors beat Whiteness, the Dipsos beat Azathoth...The loser of the Queens vs Wendigos must have more points than the Whiteness to get in the playoffs. The Queens have a scoring advantage over Whiteness...There are a number of different possible outcomes, and crazy shit happens...

Notice that the Scofflaws are not guaranteed a playoff spot, there are scenarios where they lose while scoring almost no points, and other teams win and score lots of points. But the Scofflaws play the Highwaymen, so never mind.

The Lard Ends are also not entirely out of it, but they need to win their game and score +300 points in doing so, combined with losses from both the Dipsos and Whiteness who would both have to score almost no points. Lard Ends play Theismann this week. Never mind that one too...

I think I got that right...Hit the comments box with anything I may have missed or miscalculated.

J

Go Dipsos!